Fire KongmingTier 3
at Düsseldorf Regionals
decks
1
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
46.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1211
· median 1211
· range 1211–1211
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1222
Q3 1409
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.5% | -1.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
